Newsweek setter søkelyset på Eurabia-fenomenet, og William Underhill skriver i introartikkelen at det hele er bare tøv. Hans argumentasjon bærer preg av stråmannsargumentasjon: han presenterer standpunkt uten å forstå dem, og siterer i neste omgang eksperter som avliver dem på faglig grunnlag.
Men for europeere virker presentasjonen merkelig fjern. Det er den klassisk liberale «see no evil – hear no evil» – politikken. Hvis det finnes grums er det i hodet på kritikerne, ikke i virkeligheten der ute.
To listen to Europe’s far right, it would be easy to conclude that the continent is poised for another round of bitter conflict with a centuries-old adversary. «The first Islamic invasion of Europe was stopped at [the battle of] Poitiers in 732. The second was halted at the gates of Vienna in 1683. Now we have to stop the current stealth invasion,» argues Geert Wilders, the leader of the Dutch Party for Freedom, which claims that Islamic doctrine encourages terrorism.
It’s rabble-rousing stuff. But underlying Wilders’s polemic is an argument shared by many more mainstream right-leaning thinkers on both sides of the Atlantic. Europe, its will sapped by secularism and anything-goes tolerance, has allowed decades of mass immigration without serious challenge. Too feeble to defend their own values, governments have been ready to appease Muslim opinion and must expect the worst. The argument has been gaining ground for some time—fed by alarmist and highly speculative projections from writers like the Canadian Mark Steyn, author of the bestselling America Alone—that immigration and high birthrates could mean that Muslims will make up 40 percent of Europe’s population by 2025. Similar and very public warnings have come from American diplomat Timothy Savage, who claimed that forecasts of a Muslim majority in Western Europe by midcentury «may not be far off the mark» if present trends continue, which would heighten the risk of conflict. The British historian Niall Ferguson has written that «a youthful Muslim society to the south and east of the Mediterranean is poised to colonize—the term is not too strong—a sene-scent Europe.»
Analyzing the forecasts of an emerging ‘Eurabia,’ hostile to America and western values.