Fredsprisvinner Shirin Ebadi analyserer opptakten til dagens situasjon. Også ved valget i 2005 var det begrunnet mistanke om valgfusk. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad har ikke akkurat blitt mer populær på de fire årene som er gått, men han skulle altså fått 10 millioner flere stemmer!
Hvis ikke myndighetene tar protestene på alvor og annullerer valget, risikerer de at det bryter ut vold, skriver Ebadi.
by SHIRIN EBADI
On Monday, June 15, more than 1 million people marched in the streets of Tehran to support Mir Hossein Moussavi and Mehdi Karroubi — two defeated presidential candidates — and to object to the results of last week’s election. Their destination was Azadi Square (Freedom Square) which, at the time of the Islamic Revolution 30 years ago, had been the gathering spot for revolutionaries. Mir Hossein Moussavi climbed on top of a minibus and spoke to the people through a loudspeaker. He told them to continue their objections but refrain from aggressive behavior, in order not to give security forces an excuse to resort to violence.
Peaceful demonstrations ended, and while people were slowly dispersing to go home, suddenly, from the rooftop of a building belonging to Basij (the volunteer people’s militia), shots were fired on the people. Another group started firing from another direction. Based on reports, there are seven killed and around 30 wounded and hospitalized thus far.
Basij operates under the guidance and supervision of the Revolutionary Guards of the Islamic Republic. It was created after the revolution, and its sole duty is to maintain and safeguard the government. Although volunteers, Basij members enjoy many privileges. They do not wear military uniforms but have the right to carry weapons and police communication equipment.
People’s dissatisfaction with the results does not concern the present elections alone: Many objections were made four years ago when Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was first elected president. At the time, Mehdi Karroubi and Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, two senior and powerful figures of the Islamic Republic, were Ahmadinejad’s opponents.
Ahmadinejad’s most important position until then had been mayor of Tehran. He was, however, supported by Basij and Ayatollah Khamenei, the Islamic Republic’s leader for life. Karroubi submitted several complaints to the Guardian Council, the governmental body in charge of observing and ensuring the election process. But he did not obtain any positive results. Then-President Mohammad Khatami announced that many violations had occurred. Furthermore, Hashemi Rafsanjani, who also objected to the outcome, explicitly stated that he would take his complaint to God himself, since no one in Iran would heed his objections.
Ahmadinejad’s four years of presidency resulted in people’s great dissatisfaction. During this time, inflation reached 25 percent, prices kept increasing on a daily basis, and people’s purchasing power kept decreasing. A large number of newspapers were closed down, an increasing number of political and human rights activists were imprisoned, the offices of the Center for Human Rights Defenders (I am chair of the center) were closed down, etc.
The Leader of the revolution continued his support of the president in spite of the people’s dissatisfaction, even after the Majles (parliament) declared that $1 billion had been withdrawn without legal authority. And the moment the Interior Ministry declared Ahmadinejad winner of last week’s election, the Leader congratulated him, although votes had not been counted in all districts. Furthermore, other candidates had the right to contest the elections results, and no one should have been congratulated until their objections had been heard and definitive results been determined. This premature act of congratulating angered the Iranian population.
Objections to the last week’s election are generally as follows:
1. At most voting locations, Mir Hossein Mousavi and Mehdi Karroubi’s representatives were not allowed to be present.
2. It is claimed that many of the ballot boxes have been tampered with.
3. Ahmadinejad obtained 14 million votes in the previous elections. This time, however, they made the unprecedented announcement that he had 24 million votes. Mehdi Karroubi announced that his votes were less than the number of his election headquarters’ members and the members of the «Etemad Melli» party, which he heads. When millions of people in Tehran and other cities came out on the streets to protest the elections results, it was clear that Ahmadinejad’s 24 million votes could not have been accurate.
Students also objected to the results. On June 15, in the wee hours of the morning, when Tehran University students were at their dormitory, the Basij militia conducted a murderous raid and a number of students were killed. There are no exact figures at present, but at least five students are said to have been killed, two of whom are women. Many have been injured.
Bassij militia and security forces have also attacked students in a number of other cities such as Isfahan, Shiraz and Tabriz. An estimated four have been killed and many others have been injured. According to the students themselves, 300 of their brethren have been arrested in these past few days.
Continuing protests led to the arrest of Ahmad Zeydabadi, secretary general of the Advar Tahkim Vahdat party. Furthermore, a great number of political and social activists including Saeed Hajjarian, Mostafa Tajzadeh, Abdolfattah Soltani and Reza Tajik were arrested. High speed Internet was disconnected, and foreign journalists were ordered to leave Iran as quickly as possible.
Mobile phone services and television networks including VOA and the BBC were disrupted, and the government tried to cut people’s lines of communication with each other.
The situation caused a number of the members of the parliament to announce their objections in a letter, and the speaker of the parliament, Ali Larijani, to declare the Interior Ministry responsible for violence and unrest.
Mir Hossein Mousavi and Mehdi Karroubi encouraged their supporters to continue calm and peaceful protests. They told them to voice their objection and dissatisfaction through shouts of Allah-o-Akbar (God is great) between 9 p.m. and 10 p.m. The sound of Allah-o-Akbar resonates in the entire city every night and is reminiscent of the nights of the revolution.
The intensification of popular protests has resulted in the Leader of the Islamic Republic ordering an investigation of the complaints and the Guardian Council announcing that some of the ballot boxes would be recounted. It does not appear, however, that this will calm the situation.
The best solution for establishing peace in Iran consists of:
1. The unconditional release of every individual arrested and imprisoned for having objected to the results of the elections.
2. Ordering the cessation of Basij and police violence toward protestors.
3. Declaring the election void.
4. Ordering new elections under the auspices of international organizations.
5. Paying compensation to the injured and to the families of those who have been killed.
Calm could perhaps be brought back to the Iranian society if these conditions are met. Otherwise, there is a great possibility of increased violence in Iran.