Børsene reagerte positivt på nyheten om en avtale. Markedene er kortsiktige. Tilliten til at dette går bra, stikker ikke dypt.

Er avtalen et første steg mot en bedring, har Hellas noen mulighet for å klare å komme på bena? Noen ser en lysning, andre en utsettelse.


Jonathan Loynes, the chief European economist at Capital Economics, is firmly in the glass-half-empty camp:

«Our first reaction is that this will merely delay the inevitable. With the crisis having done enormous damage to the Greek economy and financial system in recent months, it is impossible to imagine that conditions will now return to anything like normal.

«Capital controls are likely to have to remain in place and the additional austerity needed to build up the primary surpluses will weaken the economy further. In short, a Greek exit from the eurozone MIGHT just have been kicked down the road a bit. But unless the new deal includes a substantial restructuring of Greek debt – which is unlikely – Greece’s future inside the eurozone remains under huge doubt.»