Nytt

Hellas legger frem et nytt forslag innen midnatt torsdag. Da har EU-byråkratene to døgn til å evaluere planen og legge frem sin anbefaling til toppmøtet i eurogruppen søndag.

Et flertall av økonomer tror for første gang at grexit er mest sannsynlig.

Frankrike har idag stått frem som en ivrig forsvarer av Hellas’ plass i eurosonen. Det er av den ytterste betydning, geopolitisk og strategisk, sa statsminister Manuel Valls.

USA synes å ligge bak.

US Treasury Secretary: Greece debts aren’t sustainable

US Treasury secretary Jack Lew appears to have thrown his weight behind calls for a Greek debt restructuring.

Speaking at the Brookings Institution in Washington DC, Lew warned that Greece’s debts are not sustainable, echoing the IMF’s concerns. He pointed to a “deep” reluctance among some European countries to face up to the issue, though.

Disse «noen» er Tyskland, Europas hegemon. En kollisjon mellom Obama og Merkel kan få store følger.

So, Manuel Valls’ claim that a deal is “within grasp” may actually highlight the fracture between the eurozone’s largest members.

Analyst Marc Ostwald of ADM Investor Services says:

There is a strong possibility that the deal is agreed and then voted down in national parliaments.

[Valls’ comments] imply Germany and France are on a totally different page of the book….. [therefore] Germany leaves?

Det er selvsagt utenkelig og ment ironisk. Skulle Tyskland vike?

Hellas har bedt om en ny bailoutpakke som skal gå over tre år. Det virker helt usannsynlig at eurogruppens ledende medlemmer skulle gå med på dette. Utsettelser av fristene er hva de ser for seg.

The FT’s Peter Spiegel explains:

The International Monetary Fund has estimated a three-year programme could cost as much as €70bn.

And Peter also flags up Greece’s (polite) request to consider measures to make its debt sustainable and viable:

Although the IMF has urged some kind of debt relief, eurozone creditors have fiercely resisted any kind of write-down — though they have been more open to extending the repayment schedules for their current bailout loans. The Greek request is certainly not a table thumping demand, rhetorically. But the intention is certainly clear.

 

http://www.theguardian.com/business/blog/live/2015/jul/08/greece-battles-to-avoid-grexit-live