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Faysal Itani sier ISIS er sårbar. Til forskjell fra al-Qaida ønsker de å danne en stat. Dvs. at de tar mål av seg til å lever en rekke tjenester som krever en fungerende infrastruktur. Det gjør dem sårbare. Deres styrker er strukket over store grenseområder. De byr på opplagte mål for en fiende, men så langt har ikke verden villet engasjere seg. Det må den gjøre, for den dagen ISIS har kontroll over sitt territorium, vil de ta krigen til utlandet.

 

ISIS is certainly not more powerful than a coalition of all these potential rivals. Even taken alone, most of its enemies vastly outnumber it. But ISIS is adaptive, creative and ambitious. By contrast, the international community’s response has been rigid, predictable and unimaginative. If it continues to see and treat ISIS as simply a terrorist group, the international community will forever be playing defense, which ISIS can happily live with, until it no longer has to and can go on the offensive abroad. Unless its rivals understand and treat ISIS as a state, and exploit the vulnerabilities statehood presents, ISIS will continue to outclass them in ambition and sophistication, and it will have its state.

We Must Treat ISIS Like a State to Defeat It