Boko Harams angrep på tre kirker juledag, hvor ett angrep drepte 27 mennesker, blir vurdert som et forsøk på å utløse borgerkrig i Nigeria.

Nigerias 180 millioner er delt på midten mellom kristne og muslimer.

Ett av angrepene var i Jos, som har opplevd mye sekterisk vold.

Boko Haram har den senere tid vist en langt større evne til koordinerte angrep. En tror de også samarbeider med andre jihad-grupper lenger nord, og helt til al-Shabaab i Somalia.

The attacks on the churches on one of global Christianity’s most important feast days appeared aimed at touching off this latent tinderbox, just as targeted sectarian attacks in Iraq have tried to provoke Sunni-Shi’ite strife.

In December last year, Boko Haram also claimed responsibility for Christmas Eve bombings around Jos and attacks on churches and clashes that resulted in more than 80 deaths.

The latest attacks dramatically increase the challenge facing the government of President Goodluck Jonathan.

He is a Christian southerner. Critics have accused him of trying to deal with Boko Haram purely as a security question, instead of doing more to tackle issues of poverty, youth unemployment, corruption and perceived alienation and resentment among Muslim northerners.

Delte land som Nigeria har lett for å behandle teror kun som et sikkerhetsspørsmål, en mer nyansert tilnærming reiser en rekke følsomme spørsmål.

Amerikanske militære ser et truende mønster.

The latest attacks will fuel the fears of Nigerian and Western security experts who increasingly link Boko Haram to a wider violent militant Islamic jihadist threat from North Africa across the Sahara.

They could also invite more Western counter-terrorism support for Nigeria and fellow governments in West Africa’s strategic oil-producing Gulf of Guinea region – a growing energy supplier to the United States and other Western powers seeking to temper their over-reliance on the Middle East.

The head of the U.S. military’s Africa Command, General Carter Ham, lists Boko Haram along with al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) and Somalia-centered al Shabaab as groups violently hostile to U.S. and Western interests who have increasingly begun to cooperate among each other..

Nigeria’s military sees even closer links with al Qaeda..

Det finnes et raseri mot muslimer som Boko Haram kan utnytte. Det er reelt nok, men hva det skyldes kan man diskutere. Årsakene er både reelle og innbilte.

Analysis: Boko Haram bombings strike at Nigeria’s faultlines

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