Tavle

Det er alderen. På velgerne. I Storbritannia er det hovedsakelig den eldre garde som holder motstanden mot EU gående. De er kanskje fordi de er gamle nok til å huske at det var mulig å bo og leve i landet uten at EU blandet seg opp i alskens mulige og umulige saker.

There is no indication that David Cameron wants to be the Prime Minister who takes Britain out of the EU. Leaving so long – perhaps virtually five years – between the promise of an in-out referendum and delivering one makes leaving the EU substantially less likely. Crudely put, a lot of people who detest the EU will have passed away by the time any referendum occurs; and the newly enfranchised voters (even though they’re much less likely to vote) will be much more inclined to stick with the EU. Every day without a referendum increases the chances that the result of a referendum will be to stay in the EU. While the population is ageing, the number of people who have been to university, lived abroad and weren’t born until after Britain joined the EU is increasing – and these people, even as they get older, are more inclined to stick with Britain’s membership.

Ukips velgere er også eldre. En YouGov undersøkelse ifjor fant at 71% er over 50 år (gjennomsnittet for alle velgere er 46% over 50 år). Partiet er altså ikke noe ungt protestparti og dette er en av årsakene til at Nigel Farage holder avstand til Marine Le Pen og Geert Wilders.  

The Telegraph