Amerikansk etterretning fastslår i en rapport at Iran kan ha stanset arbeidet med å fremstille en atombombe. Man tror arbeidet stanset i 2003 og har ikke sett tegn til at det er gjenopptatt, selv om visse tekniske forberedelser pågår. Rapporten gjør arbeidet for en tredje runde med sanksjoner mindre sannsynlig.
Det er i en såkalt National Intelligence Estimate at disse vurderingene fremsettes. NIE er summen av samtlige etterretningstjenesters vurdering.
A new U.S. intelligence report says Iran halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003 and it remains on hold, contradicting the Bush administration’s earlier assertion that Tehran was intent on developing a bomb.
The National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) released on Monday could undermine U.S. efforts to convince other world powers to agree on a third package of U.N. sanctions against Iran for defying demands to halt uranium enrichment activities.
In one key finding, the NIE stated: «Tehran’s decision to halt its nuclear weapons program suggests it is less determined to develop nuclear weapons than we have been judging since 2005.»
Still, it said: «We also assess with moderate-to-high confidence that Tehran at a minimum is keeping open the option to develop nuclear weapons.»
But the report suggested Tehran’s suspension showed it was susceptible to international pressure.
It also said U.S. intelligence had «moderate confidence» that Tehran had not restarted its nuclear weapons effort by mid-2007 but added that Tehran’s intentions were unclear.
«Iranian entities are continuing to develop a range of technical capabilities that could be applied to producing nuclear weapons, if a decision is made to do so,» it said.