Det er 98 % sannsynlig at Hellas vil gå konkurs, ifølge de siste forsikringspremier mot en slik eventualitet, såkalte credit default swaps. Investorer tror det vil skje i nær fremtid og at det blir brutalt.

Greece’s chance of default in the next five years has soared to 98 percent as Prime Minister George Papandreou fails to reassure international investors that his country can survive the euro-region crisis.
“Everyone’s pricing in a pretty near-term default and I think it’ll be a hard event,” said Peter Tchir, founder of hedge fund TF Market Advisors in New York. “Clearly this austerity plan is not working.”

U.S. Stocks Decline on Greece Default Fears