Hans Rustad Den midlertidige avtalen mellom Iran og gruppen av seks land har kjørt seg fast på spørsmålet om nye avanserte sentrifuger til anriking av Iran.
Iran har slike under utprøving, men USA kan ikke gå med på at de settes i produksjon.
Derfor har forhandlingene om avtalen som ble kunngjort 24. november, kjørt seg fast.
Obama-administrasjonen vil ikke innrømme at den kanskje ikke blir noe av, at Iran forfølger et spor som er uforenlig med avtalens ånd og bokstav, men slik ser det ut, og motstanden i Kongressen er voksende.
The White House will never admit talks have broken off. That would confirm critics’ conclusion that this is all a giant stall by Iran to allow it to progress with its nuclear weapons program while getting sanctions relief. So far, the mullahs are achieving exactly what they want. And the Obama team oversold what it had achieved, a former U.S. official critical of the administration says, giving pro-sanctions lawmakers every reason to pass new legislation.
The centrifuge issue is no small matter. Mark Dubowitz, president of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, has been closely involved in sanctions development and implementation. He tells me, “Permitting Iran to conduct research and development on advanced centrifuges is a dangerous proposition and fundamentally at odds with a peaceful civilian nuclear program. The verification of Iran’s current centrifuge production capabilities is already sufficiently challenging without opening the door to Iranian development of even smaller and more efficient centrifuges that are easier to hide.” He adds, “This is further proof — as if more evidence is needed — that Iran is building an industrial-size nuclear infrastructure that will give it multiple overt and covert pathways to a bomb.”
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osh Block, a longtime Democrat and head of the Israel Project, observes via an e-mail to Right Turn, “Clearly there is growing concern and realization that the ‘interim deal’ is actually just another stalling tactic by Iran, but worse, one we are paying Iran billions of dollars to perpetrate. The six month ‘deal’ was announced in November, so either that is the moment the 6 month clock started or there is no ‘deal’ at all.”
Second, those demanding a new round of sanctions, including 53 Senate Democrats and Republicans co-sponsoring sanctions legislation, again have been proven to be savvier about the Iranians than the president and his State Department. Without reimposition of sanctions and passage of stringent banking sanctions, Iran will merely continue its pattern of delay, obfuscation and wordsmithing. The number of co-sponsors is up to 51, enough to pass the Senate by a majority; word of this latest Iranian gambit may persuade others to join. (The timing of a vote is still up in the air, although the delay has given pro-sanctions senators time to make their case and gain proof of Iran’s mendacity.) As Block put it, “Congress is not fooled. The American people are not fooled. Iran is playing us for the fool. Only more pressure backed by the credible threat of military force will bring Iran to recognize the costs of keeping their program outweigh any benefit.”
Iran mener det ikke har gitt fra seg retten til anriking, mens USA har sagt at det skal avklares i avtalen. Der står saken, uavklart, og i mellomtiden fortsetter Iran å forbedre sin anriking.