Gassfunnene til Israel og Kypros er større enn antatt. Det gjør Tyrkias irritasjon enda større. Den siste tiden har tyrkiske krigsskip drevet bombeøvelser i farvannet mellom tyrkisk økonomisk sone og det israelske gassfeltet Leviathan.
Kypros lar seg ikke skremme. Tvertimot.
It was the Cypriot president who broke the silence Friday with a warning: «If Turkey does not change its gunboat diplomacy and stop playing the part of regional police officer, there will be consequences, which, for sure, will not be good — either for the whole region or the Turkish people and, first and foremost, for Turkish Cypriots.»
Dagen før hadde Israel kansellert en stor ordre på ultramoderne fotografering på lang avstand, som Tyrkia hadde hatt løfte om siden 2008. Men Israel vil ikke levere til en kunde de ikke stoler på.
On Thursday, Israel canceled the $90 million sale to the Turkish Air Force of Elbit’s hi-tech LOROP-Long Range Oblique Photography military surveillance system. Israeli defense sources said the transaction was canceled lest SAR radar or LOROP technology find their way into the hands of Israel’s enemies, such as Iran.
According to military sources, Israel timed the deal’s cancelation as a warning to Ankara to back off from its campaign of harassment in and around Israel’s gas fields.
Jerusalem, Athens and Nicosia are economic and security partners in the exploration and development of eastern Mediterranean gas resources.
Grunnen til at Nikosia og Jerusalem tør å opptre så kontant er alliansen med Hellas, bevisstheten om store verdier, og oppbackingen de har fått fra USA.
The recent discovery that the gas fields are much bigger than first believed has raised the stakes around them. The three governments involved are looking forward to becoming major gas suppliers to Europe and so reducing the continent’s dependence on Russian and Turkish gas pipelines. Noble Energy’s latest estimate, published Dec. 19, added 6.3 percent to the Leviathan well’s untapped potential, raising it from the previous estimate of 16 to 20 trillion cubic feet.
Nicosia too will shortly issue an upwardly revised estimate of its gas field. According to Debkafile’s energy industry sources, the new figure is cautiously estimated as 10 trillion cubic feet.
Both expect Ankara to escalate its nuisance offensive after the new Nicosia bulletin. As a precaution, Cypriot Foreign Minister Erato Kozakou-Marcoullis was dispatched to Washington on Dec. 19 to talk the situation over with administration officials and obtain U.S. support for the continuing gas enterprise and the Cypriot stance against Turkish threats.
According to our Washington sources, the advice from Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was to go full steam ahead with gas drilling and ignore Turkish harassment. After their meeting, Kozakou-Marcoullis said the prospects for gas development have already dramatically increased her country’s strategic importance.
In a speech at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, she called Turkey «the neighborhood bully,» adding that a Turkey «whose foreign minister once promoted a policy of ‘zero problems’ with its neighbors is now pursuing a policy of ‘only problems.'»