Erdogan driver høyt spill

Michael J. Totten

Recep Tayyip Erdo­gan synes ikke å kunne mot­stå fris­tel­sen til å vinne popu­la­ri­tet blant folke­mas­sene i Midt­østen, selv om det går på bekost­ning av poli­tiske hensyn.

Erdo­gan spil­ler åpen­bart på det anti-israelske kor­tet, men han risi­ke­rer å sette i beve­gelse noe hver­ken han eller andre kan kontrollere.

Tur­key is impos­ing “sanc­tions” on Israel. “We are com­pletely sus­pen­ding all of these, trade rela­tions, mili­tary rela­tions, related with the defense industry,” says Prime Minis­ter Recep Tayyip Erdo­gan. “All of these are com­pletely sus­pen­ded and other measu­res will follow this process.”

The Turks have also orde­red Israeli diplo­mats out of the coun­try by Wed­nes­day and Ergo­gan is tal­king about taking a trip to Gaza through the Rafah crossing after meeting with his “Egyp­tian fri­ends and brot­hers” in Cairo.

His pos­turing is making him more popu­lar than ever in the Arab world while Iran’s credibility—already shaky to begin with—is fal­ling with its staunch sup­port of Assad’s bloody regime in Syria. Erdo­gan, by coming out more strongly against Assad than even Western govern­ment are while simul­tane­ously down­gra­ding his rela­tions with Israel, is doing a much bet­ter job positioning him­self for a popu­lar regio­nal lea­dership role than Iran’s govern­ment is.

Some of Turkey’s diplo­mats, though, aren’t par­ti­cu­larly impressed with what Erdo­gan is up to and are pushing back: “Erdo?an’s entry to Gaza through the Rafah bor­der crossing would put Egypt in a deli­cate position, since that would mean vio­la­ting exis­ting agreements between Israel and Egypt,” says one.

The ques­tion now” Michael Rubin wri­tes in Com­men­tary, “is whether Erdo?an’s desire to score popu­list points is grea­ter than Turkey’s respect for Middle East peace and the increas­ingly shatte­red legacy of the Camp David Accords.”

Tur­key Escala­tes its Row with Israel


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